Wednesday, March 2, 2011

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US corn tumbles on liquidation as crude surges

  • Wednesday, March 2, 2011
  • Thùy Miên
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  • * Corn posts sharp reversal after near 32-month high




     * Soybeans up as rains slow early Brazil harvest




     * Wheat erases early gains as corn sags




     




     By Julie Ingwersen




     CHICAGO, March 2 (Reuters) - U.S. corn futures fell 1.8
    percent on Wednesday, their biggest drop since a limit-down
    plunge last week, as a surge in U.S. crude oil prompted
    investors to curb risk by selling long positions.




     Traders also exited the market by unwinding inter-market
    spreads, selling corn against both wheat and soybeans.




     Soybeans rose for a second day, gaining against corn on
    expectations that rain delays to the harvest in Brazil could
    lift demand for U.S. supplies.




     Wheat ended narrowly mixed after volatile trade, with the
    sell-off in corn erasing early gains tied to fresh export
    demand. But dry weather in the Plains underpinned the market.




     On the Chicago Board of Trade, bellwether May corn CK1
    ended down 14 cents at $7.21-1/2 per bushel, while May soybeans
    SK1 were up 19 cents at $13.94-1/4 a bushel. May wheat WK1
    settled up 1 cent at $8.11-1/4 a bushel.




     Corn futures fell after rising to a near 32-month high on
    continuous price charts. The retreat began slowly as traders
    booked profits and unwound long corn/short wheat spreads.




     But corn slumped at midsession, with nearby contracts
    falling almost the daily limit of 30 cents a bushel, as U.S.
    crude CLc1 rose to a session high above $102 a barrel.




     Crude advanced after an airstrike near Libya's oil
    infrastructure raised the threat of a prolonged disruption from
    the OPEC nation and fears that unrest might spread to other
    regional producers. [ID:nL3E7E205X]




     The effect of spiking crude oil prices on the corn market
    was reminiscent of the trade on Feb. 22, when corn fell its
    daily limit as a jump in crude oil triggered heavy long
    liquidation in grains.




     "The last time we had crude up, where it went $6 to $8
    higher, the corn market went limit down," said Don Roose of
    U.S. Commodities in West Des Moines, Iowa.




     "That has got people saying they don't want to chase the
    crude oil up," Roose said.




     Added one cash-connected trader, "When you see the spikes
    (in crude), when you see the uncertainty out there, people will
    start to pull money back for a time."




     Front-month CBOT corn Cc1 posted a bearish key reversal
    on daily price charts -- rising to a fresh contract high and
    then closing below the previous day's trading range.




     SOYBEANS HIGHER; BRAZIL HARVEST EYED




     Soybeans rose as wet weather delayed the harvest of a
    likely record-large crop in Brazil, the world's second-largest
    soy supplier. As a result of the delays, traders this week said
    China has been seeking U.S. soybeans to fill gaps.




     "It looks like China is back in looking for beans. That
    combined with harvest delays in Brazil because of the weather
    was enough to lift beans," said Joe Bedore, CBOT floor manager
    for trade house FC Stone.




     Soybeans also drew support as the strength in crude oil
    lifted soyoil, which is used to make biodiesel.




     Wheat was choppy, giving up early advances as corn tumbled.
    Wheat rallied in early moves after the U.S. Department of
    Agriculture confirmed sales of 220,000 tonnes of U.S. hard red
    winter wheat to unknown destinations for the current 2010/2011
    marketing year.




     Earlier this week, Saudi Arabia's grains authority said it
    bought 275,000 tonnes of 12.5 percent protein hard wheat,
    including four cargoes of U.S. wheat and one from Brazil.




     Concerns about crop weather in the United States lent
    underlying support. Updated forecast models indicated that dry
    weather would likely continue in the western U.S. Plains, a
    reversal of some outlooks on Tuesday that called for rain.




     "Models show good agreement that dryness will persist in
    wheat areas of the western Plains," the Commodity Weather
    Group, a U.S. forecaster, said in a daily note.




     Prices at 2:24 p.m. CST (2024 GMT)




                              LAST      NET    PCT     YTD




                                        CHG    CHG     CHG
    CBOT corn Cc1 714.00 -13.25 -1.8% 13.5%
    CBOT soy Sc1 1387.25 19.75 1.4% -0.5%
    CBOT meal SMc1 359.00 1.00 0.3% -3.1%
    CBOT soyoil BOc1 58.27 1.20 2.1% 0.9%
    CBOT wheat Wc1 776.75 1.00 0.1% -2.2%
    CBOT rice RRc1 1371.00 -14.00 -1.0% -2.0%
    EU wheat BL2H1 256.75 -0.50 -0.2% 1.7%
    US crude CLc1 102.08 2.45 2.5% 11.7%
    Dow Jones .DJI 12,085 27 0.2% 4.4%
    Gold XAU= 1432.95 -1.40 -0.1% 1.0%
    Euro/dollar EUR= 1.3857 0.0082 0.6% 3.8%
    Dollar Index .DXY 76.6920 -0.3590 -0.5% -3.0%
    Baltic Freight .BADI 1281 19 1.5% -27.7%
    *Front month contracts. CBOT contracts in U.S. cents per
    bushel except soymeal in dollars per ton, soyoil in cents per
    lb and rice in cents per hundredweight. Paris wheat in euros
    per tonne and London wheat in pounds per tonne


    (Source: http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFLDE7211AA20110302)

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